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Covid-19 cases goes above 10000 in India. How far will it go?

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Deal Lieutenant
Tera_Jija

I think it will be controlled within 20k in india.

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Mobile Guru Mobile Guru
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Someone was saying..we wont cross 10k few days back due to lockdown (when cases were ~5k)

Generous Generous
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Edited.

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Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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Probably around 1L by 15th of May

Helpful Helpful
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kuch acha bhi soch liya karo bhai, uss 1 lakh mein tumhari family bhi ho sakti hai.

Soch ke ek baar phir se counting batana.

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Entertainer Entertainer
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Point to be noted, countries where lockdown was released, Corona reappeared. So it’s better to hold our breath for a while then stopping it totally.

Blogger Blogger
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i think a million

you may see this as a joke but i dont

Generous Generous
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Do u think there are going to be 25-50 million tests done? We are at 0.2 million tests after a month or so. More likely, a million will die from corona that nobody will know about.

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Finance Ninja Finance Ninja
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https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/612734/original/IMG_20200414_104136.jpg?1586841115

Pro Entertainer Pro Entertainer
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Meri daaru chhoot gayi… sad toungueout

Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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1 billion+

Finance Ninja Finance Ninja
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https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/612738/original/EVa69sgU8AAMcjB.jpg?1586843321

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Critic Critic
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It’s very difficult to predict, even western analysts keep changing data after every 2 weeks.

Real question in a place like India with minimal testing is how many detected vs how many actually infected.

If lockdown persists in some form we may see the graph flattening around August. If any mode of sustained public transport whether air or rail is reopened then cases will not subside. It has already been ascertained that virus is airborne till 13 feet…..

Migrant labourers should be allowed to travel back to home.
Farm workers should be allowed to work in fields.
Certain factories can be opened with condition that workers stay and eat within factory premises.

Deal Hunter Deal Hunter
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True ,everyday matters just like one Jamaat meeting day ruined a 21 day lockdown ,more such things can come up.
People are in IPL mode ,just predicting scores out of a blue . 20k,1L,1M jaisa number bolre h idhar aur ,udhar data analysts bhi nhi samjh paare waha bhi gyaan do.

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Deal Captain Deal Captain
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It’s uncontrollable, we don’t have any control over the virus.

it can go at any limit until vaccines come or until the world ends whichever is earlier.

So don’t try to assume it, its not a cricket match.

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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That’s right bro add whichever is earlier line

Pro Community Angel Pro Community Angel
Admin
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Again its the same …. started in this thread pensive

Stop pointing it on each other and Stop taking sides or going personal for any news bits going rounds.

How many times we have to remind u all that it is not the time for Personal grudges on a person / party / religion

Lets be unite and think like One and just exchange normal decent conversations

Or You all will be forcing us to take the threads down and the people involved in making it worse

EDIT: Thanks to all the dimers for all the timely alerts in this time of need

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Around 15-20 march WHO was saying there was approx 10 k active cases in india ,today u can imagine how high the no. Might be and testing is so less

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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As per understand this will go till 20-25k to flatten the curve. Moreover only lockdown is not only solution. There should be survey to be done on what basis these are increasing, else these lockdown will not give outcome. There are many intelligence team working in every district and need to use these analysis. Also the tests which india is doing per million is seems to be less than other poor countries like Bangladesh/Pakistan. Since 21 days of lockdown is not giving correct results, there is something more we (GoI) need to do.

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Virus might be uncontrollable but aftermath it is gonna leave is certainly controllable.

We need to take care of each other and stay away from every kind of hatred.

Staying away from work has its own disadvantages other than financial losses. We need to ensure positivity around us in this kind of unprecedented situation.

Domestic violence is increasing.

Best way to save ourself from aftermath is by utilising our time towards positive energy.

We should study, meditate and work on our weaknesses. This is only way to come stronger after it all ends.

Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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Well said. Kg

Everybody seems covid expert like me now a days.

Pro Entertainer Pro Entertainer
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Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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Doesn’t rhyme but point is correct laughing

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Flame Flame
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Numbers govt are posting to us is wrong and not believable. It shud have crossed min 50k now… V have worst testing methods in the world! I’m damn sure after lockdown is removed we will have another lockdown when numbers go uncontrolled… Unless government tests in more numbers atleast by contact tracing… This will not be reduced… Even now 10% ppl are working outside to spread it to large numbers later

Generous Generous
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Will have to visit this thread after a month and ask how people arrived at their “estimated numbers”. Was it just their belief system (which never goes wrong) or they had some data to back up their claims.

Blogger Blogger
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just some random estimate

10 lakh out of 130 crore

= 0.08% approx

i think its reasonable

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Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Guys whoever resides near apmc market (wholesale) please teack number of trucks coming to your region since many players started hoarding of essential commodities but some of chagan bhujbal people have catched them in navi mumbai but if we keep watching them and alertjng government on twitter they will not able to hoard them.

Deal Captain Deal Captain
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Still too low for size of India.
This year India will likely have fewest deaths if compared to previous years.

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