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Things to do during a crash

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bikidas2060

https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/737415/medium/Nifty.JPG?1643182380

Image Source: Zerodha KITE, Nifty 50/1 Month/ Log scale

Points:

  • 01/01/1996 ~ 01/05/2003 -> A prominent bearish head and shoulder pattern. (8 years)
  • 01/04/2003 ~ 01/01/2004 -> Pattern failed. A rise of 103.23% in prices at 75° slope. (1 year)
  • 02/02/2004 ~ 03/05/2004 ->31.32% crash in prices. (2 months) 
  • 01/07/2004 ~ 03/12/2007 -> 315% rise in price at 58° slope. (3 years)
  • 03/12/2007 ~ 01/01/2008 -> 64% crash in prices. (1 year)
  • 01/12/2008 ~ 01/01/2020 -> 349% rise in prices at 30° slope. (11 years)
  • 01/02/2020 ~ 02/03/2020 -> 38.76% crash in prices. (1 month)
  • 01/04/2020 ~ 26/01/2022 -> 139% rise in prices at 59° slope. (2 years)

All data are of approximate values. 🙂🙂🙂

What do you infer from it? Please share your views.

Okay!!! So, what to do?

In my opinion one can utilize this time to find new shares, which are good and are available at a good valuation. See, good prices of good stocks don’t come with good news. Right! So, keep an eye open and check for consolidating sectors and shares. 🙂🙂

Candlestick patterns that show  a bearish trend reversal

Candlestick patterns that show a bullish trend reversal

Candlestick patterns that show a trend continuation sign

A simple thing to do

  • Use EMAs (exponential moving average) as dynamic support and resistances. 
  • Daily, Weekly and Monthly timeframes are more powerful than mere minutes and hourly timeframes. 
  • In case of a correction first Monthly, then Weekly and then Daily timeframes show weakness. Similarly in case of beginning of a bullish trend first small timeframes show weaknesses. In this case check for 15min, hourly, four hourly charts for a sign of trend reversal.
  • Use a suitable screener from Chartink/Tradingview/Screener 🙂

Disclaimer
We are not SEBI/IRDA registered. The information provided herein is for education purposes only. We will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel's suggestions. Consult your financial advisor before making any decisions.
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Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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AJP wrote:

Any short term gain view stock pls

Trident buy @ 57-58

JP power buy @ 8.5-8.8

IRCTC buy @ 800-810

HFCL buy @ 75-77

Tatasteel buy @ 1050-1060

Tatapower buy @ 220-225

Tatamotors buy @ 460-465

National Aluminium buy @ 98-100

Adanipower buy @ 98-100

Zomato below 60

Nykaa below 1000

Dixon below 4000


Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Markuut wrote:

Trident buy @ 57-58

JP power buy @ 8.5-8.8

IRCTC buy @ 800-810

HFCL buy @ 75-77

Tatasteel buy @ 1050-1060

Tatapower buy @ 220-225

Tatamotors buy @ 460-465

National Aluminium buy @ 98-100

Adanipower buy @ 98-100

Zomato below 60

Nykaa below 1000

Dixon below 4000


Hdfc AMC and Hindustan Unilever.. SIP. Safe stocks…

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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kool wrote:

What about
- Airtel
- Spandana
- Whirlpool
- Zomato
- SBIIN
- Tatva
- Lalpath Lab
- Indigo Paints
- PVR

I am a fresher in stock knowledge, but I have made list of these bu watching stock guru YouTube grimacing So guys suggest me good one for long term (5 year). I have ₹2lakh reserved to invest.

Jab jab market gire daalte jao in good stocks.. stocks m betting on safe waale ( hdfc amc, Abbott, iex, adani power, reliance, nazara, nyka, mapmyindia-, ibullfin, devyani, Zomato, nbcc, nmdc, ntpc… Joh zyada gire woh lena …dbl 300 below n graphite 350 below

Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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With this huge liquidity in market, it cannot CRASHl. A 10-15% correction may occur and will be used as buying opportunity. Market is bullish for next 4-5 years.

Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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shakti.s21111 wrote:

With this huge liquidity in market, it cannot CRASHl. A 10-15% correction may occur and will be used as buying opportunity. Market is bullish for next 4-5 years.

I will buy blue-chips on dips. However my investment view is for >10 years.

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Jab jab market gire daalte jao in good stocks.. stocks m betting on safe waale ( hdfc amc, Abbott, iex, adani power, reliance, nazara, nyka, mapmyindia-, ibullfin, devyani, Zomato, nbcc, nmdc, ntpc… Joh zyada gire woh lena …dbl 300 below n graphite 350 below

never catch a falling knife. 🙂

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

never catch a falling knife. 🙂

No one can time market. When stocks are on discount. Keep adding at every level 5-10 dips… N der r people who would suggest stocks at high n ur entire capital will get stuck.

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

No one can time market. When stocks are on discount. Keep adding at every level 5-10 dips… N der r people who would suggest stocks at high n ur entire capital will get stuck.

If some stocks are available at a cheap price it’s that way because of some reasons, reasons which are not pretty. People get stuck in those shares. 🙂 When a stock is at all time high then it enters an uncharted region. In most cases it goes up n up. These are generalized statements.


Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

If some stocks are available at a cheap price it’s that way because of some reasons, reasons which are not pretty. People get stuck in those shares. 🙂 When a stock is at all time high then it enters an uncharted region. In most cases it goes up n up. These are generalized statements.


Nah invest in good stocks which falls bcos of reason like. 1. Market falling 2. COVID 3. Fii exits 4. Sm war news

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Nah invest in good stocks which falls bcos of reason like. 1. Market falling 2. COVID 3. Fii exits 4. Sm war news

Conditions applied 🙂

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

Conditions applied 🙂

Yeah missed it wen stocks were so low due to covid during March 2020. All shhoted up by 100 to 500%. So basically anythg trading below its fair value is gud buy. Eventually it will reach it fair value wen market starts rising

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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interesr rate increasehttps://mobile.twitter.com/deepakshenoy/status/1489501822738112512

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Yeah missed it wen stocks were so low due to covid during March 2020. All shhoted up by 100 to 500%. So basically anythg trading below its fair value is gud buy. Eventually it will reach it fair value wen market starts rising

itz a myth. I have learnt in a hard way. 

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Yeah missed it wen stocks were so low due to covid during March 2020. All shhoted up by 100 to 500%. So basically anythg trading below its fair value is gud buy. Eventually it will reach it fair value wen market starts rising

How do you pick a share? What’s a good share in your view? And, what parameters do you see before picking your stocks?

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

How do you pick a share? What’s a good share in your view? And, what parameters do you see before picking your stocks?

Fundamental + profit + future prospects + fair value …if this parameter are good. Den either 1. Long term or play swing trade or say accumulate in dips.

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

itz a myth. I have learnt in a hard way. 

Check any stock price in March 2020.. 90% stock doubled n triple. Never miss stock at good price …

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Check any stock price in March 2020.. 90% stock doubled n triple. Never miss stock at good price …

It was just once in a lifetime opportunity. It doesn’t work in that way all the time. And the stocks those rose are not going to rise in that fashion. If we talk about profiteering schemes then nothing beats FnO in that regard. 

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Fundamental + profit + future prospects + fair value …if this parameter are good. Den either 1. Long term or play swing trade or say accumulate in dips.

How do you measure fair value?

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

It was just once in a lifetime opportunity. It doesn’t work in that way all the time. And the stocks those rose are not going to rise in that fashion. If we talk about profiteering schemes then nothing beats FnO in that regard. 

Of course. Every 2 year correction happens n i invest 25 lacs n book 30% profit. Graphite I entered in 400 n booked at 500..will reenter at 400 n 300. Hdfc amc n few other I ve started SIP.. siting in 70% cash

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Of course. Every 2 year correction happens n i invest 25 lacs n book 30% profit. Graphite I entered in 400 n booked at 500..will reenter at 400 n 300. Hdfc amc n few other I ve started SIP.. siting in 70% cash

Every year min 3-4 such events happen if we aim for 30% return. If one aims for major correction then ideal aim should be min 60%. Stocks like HEG, Graphite run fast when they decide to run. I had taken HEG at 900 n sold em all at 2400. 

HDFC AMC might disappoint. Graphite should do well. 

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

Every year min 3-4 such events happen if we aim for 30% return. If one aims for major correction then ideal aim should be min 60%. Stocks like HEG, Graphite run fast when they decide to run. I had taken HEG at 900 n sold em all at 2400. 

HDFC AMC might disappoint. Graphite should do well. 

Lets c… Fr now sip mode in all gud stock  with 30 to 50% disc

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

Every year min 3-4 such events happen if we aim for 30% return. If one aims for major correction then ideal aim should be min 60%. Stocks like HEG, Graphite run fast when they decide to run. I had taken HEG at 900 n sold em all at 2400. 

HDFC AMC might disappoint. Graphite should do well. 

So u agree der are chance of making 60% ..so be ready fr that chances sunglasses.but m happy with 30% profit every year

Hunk Hunk
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

So u agree der are chance of making 60% ..so be ready fr that chances sunglasses.but m happy with 30% profit every year

Conditions applied. 🙂🙂🙂 

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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iffatkhatoon98 wrote:

Hdfc AMC and Hindustan Unilever.. SIP. Safe stocks…

If you know how to read the chart, you’ll earn both ways on bull market as well as bear market.

Learn and Earn is the best policy in share market rather than buying on dip stategy.


Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Markuut wrote:

If you know how to read the chart, you’ll earn both ways on bull market as well as bear market.

Learn and Earn is the best policy in share market rather than buying on dip stategy.


Nt expert bro.

Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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No one can time market..if u ve 1 lack… 20k now n 20k on every DIP …one fifth hi karo aaram se fir next 6 mnth to 1 year period..then hold fr 1-2 years fr 40-200% returns …target Adani wilmar sunglasses

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