Nifty Shall Fall More
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Things to do during a crash

1173°
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bikidas2060

https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/737415/medium/Nifty.JPG?1643182380

Image Source: Zerodha KITE, Nifty 50/1 Month/ Log scale

Points:

  • 01/01/1996 ~ 01/05/2003 -> A prominent bearish head and shoulder pattern. (8 years)
  • 01/04/2003 ~ 01/01/2004 -> Pattern failed. A rise of 103.23% in prices at 75° slope. (1 year)
  • 02/02/2004 ~ 03/05/2004 ->31.32% crash in prices. (2 months) 
  • 01/07/2004 ~ 03/12/2007 -> 315% rise in price at 58° slope. (3 years)
  • 03/12/2007 ~ 01/01/2008 -> 64% crash in prices. (1 year)
  • 01/12/2008 ~ 01/01/2020 -> 349% rise in prices at 30° slope. (11 years)
  • 01/02/2020 ~ 02/03/2020 -> 38.76% crash in prices. (1 month)
  • 01/04/2020 ~ 26/01/2022 -> 139% rise in prices at 59° slope. (2 years)

All data are of approximate values. 🙂🙂🙂

What do you infer from it? Please share your views.

Okay!!! So, what to do?

In my opinion one can utilize this time to find new shares, which are good and are available at a good valuation. See, good prices of good stocks don’t come with good news. Right! So, keep an eye open and check for consolidating sectors and shares. 🙂🙂

Candlestick patterns that show  a bearish trend reversal

Candlestick patterns that show a bullish trend reversal

Candlestick patterns that show a trend continuation sign

A simple thing to do

  • Use EMAs (exponential moving average) as dynamic support and resistances. 
  • Daily, Weekly and Monthly timeframes are more powerful than mere minutes and hourly timeframes. 
  • In case of a correction first Monthly, then Weekly and then Daily timeframes show weakness. Similarly in case of beginning of a bullish trend first small timeframes show weaknesses. In this case check for 15min, hourly, four hourly charts for a sign of trend reversal.
  • Use a suitable screener from Chartink/Tradingview/Screener 🙂

Disclaimer
We are not SEBI/IRDA registered. The information provided herein is for education purposes only. We will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel's suggestions. Consult your financial advisor before making any decisions.
85 Comments  |  
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Cool Cool
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Gurudev budget ka intezar kijiye

Pro Shopping Friend Pro Shopping Friend
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bikidas2060 wrote:

@MrKool_JJ @malikcool @guest_999 @AyushiiiVijay @BubbleBoyChickenLittle @Wontdisplaymyname @Priyanka @still_guessing @drupal @shh_my_dog_is_sleeping @cancob @kukdookoo @luciferous @whitewalker @azzuridd @xuseronline @amdoinggood123 @Dastro @tappukepapa @BAT_MAN @amitsh053 @Rosh_0007

Good post bhai. But last correction we have seen wasn’t a crash at all. 5-10% correction in index is a normal thing.

Trailblazer Trailblazer
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Indian market just following Usa market daily

Hunk Hunk
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malikcool wrote:

Good post bhai. But last correction we have seen wasn’t a crash at all. 5-10% correction in index is a normal thing.

Ji bhai. 🙂🙂🙂

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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matlab buy more biki paji?

Hunk Hunk
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kukdookoo wrote:

matlab buy more biki paji?

But aankehein band karke nai. Jiske technicals n fundamentals acha ho bass unhe

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Guys.. What r your views on Bajaj amine, Boi, Gail, indiamart?

Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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Nice one 

I think we are finally moving towards a sideways moving market 

Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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can we also consider total demat accounts, investors and traders increased. Beginning of 2020 it was 3cr accounts and now it is 8cr account.. this is reason for 60* move in market..  FII pumped 2cr lakh from 8k nifty to 18K nify and now FII withdraw 1.25cr lakh from 18k to 17K till date, still market is intact…  we can expect somemore correction not crash… 

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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One golden rule- whenever market goes down, buy major stocks like infy, hdfc, etc . No one will get such buying opportunities again. For long term, >5 yrs, this will give u good returns.

Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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✅ NiftyBees
✅ BankBees
✅ JuniorBees
✅ MON100
✅ Goldbees

Budding Star Budding Star
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Current indices are still better than oct nov 2021
MF navs were lower at that time
So not much crash as such

Hunk Hunk
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ddstar wrote:

Guys.. What r your views on Bajaj amine, Boi, Gail, indiamart?

Balaji Amines: Fantastic company. Fundamentally super strong. It will bounce.
BOI: Bank of India. No idea
Gail: It is yummy.
Indiamart: It’s flipkart of retail biz. So, it might have a bright future. Wait for a revival sign

Super Stud Super Stud
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I thought this thread was about motorcycle crash 😅😅😅

Pro Entertainer Pro Entertainer
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bikidas2060 wrote:

Balaji Amines: Fantastic company. Fundamentally super strong. It will bounce.
BOI: Bank of India. No idea
Gail: It is yummy.
Indiamart: It’s flipkart of retail biz. So, it might have a bright future. Wait for a revival sign

escorts per kya vichaar hai… 1200 crore lagaa hai jhunjhunwala ka aur ab jappu bhi aagaye hein 2000 ki open offer le kar… smile toungueout

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Any short term gain view stock pls

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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AJP wrote:

Any short term gain view stock pls

Koi bhi bol denge aur invest kar doge kya?

Hunk Hunk
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vijkap201 wrote:

escorts per kya vichaar hai… 1200 crore lagaa hai jhunjhunwala ka aur ab jappu bhi aagaye hein 2000 ki open offer le kar… smile toungueout

https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/737460/original/Escorts.jpg?1643203909

https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/737461/original/Escorts2.jpg?1643203926

https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/737462/original/Escorts3.jpg?1643203944

Bhai, it is bound to have some correction. But long term prospective is legendary. Check the second photo. Both the promoters and FIIs are reducing their stakes and public is gobbling up the inflated stock. So, a healthy correction will square the matter. 🙂

Delhi Capitals Delhi Capitals
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AJP wrote:

Any short term gain view stock pls

Mapmyindia, Good stock for future.
Buy it around 1400-1500 or below if possible. then wait for selling opportunity as per your choice.
PS: Apna bhi Dimaag lagana bhai, main koi advisor nahi hoon. blush

Hunk Hunk
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AJP wrote:

Any short term gain view stock pls

Short term gain. Bhai, if you ask about stocks I might suggest some suggestion. You are directly asking for tips that too for short term. 🙂🙂🙂GMM and Polycab might do well. 

Like Magnet Like Magnet
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bikidas2060 wrote:

Balaji Amines: Fantastic company. Fundamentally super strong. It will bounce.
BOI: Bank of India. No idea
Gail: It is yummy.
Indiamart: It’s flipkart of retail biz. So, it might have a bright future. Wait for a revival sign

Indiamart Qrtly trends:

Degrowth in biz enquiries
Tepid growth in pay subscribers/ARPU
Increasing rev concentration

Meaning: core biz struggling 2 grow

Cash/investments: 2500 cr
Annualised core biz PAT~200 cr
Low/no growth pe: 15x
So Fair value ~ 5500 cr
vs
Mcap of 15000 cr


https://cdn0.desidime.com/attachments/photos/737474/medium/20220126_215442.jpg?1643214363

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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popeyemask wrote:

✅ NiftyBees
✅ BankBees
✅ JuniorBees
✅ MON100
✅ Goldbees

Can you please explain out of nifty index fund and nifty bees, which is better and why?

Analyst Analyst
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popeyemask wrote:

✅ NiftyBees
✅ BankBees
✅ JuniorBees
✅ MON100
✅ Goldbees

Arry wah.. apun bhee yahi karta hai just kuchchh smajh nahin aata ki what to buy
With every crash, I simply buy NiftyBees and Bankbees! So far so good.

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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bikidas2060 wrote:

@MrKool_JJ @malikcool @guest_999 @AyushiiiVijay @BubbleBoyChickenLittle @Wontdisplaymyname @Priyanka @still_guessing @drupal @shh_my_dog_is_sleeping @cancob @kukdookoo @luciferous @whitewalker @azzuridd @xuseronline @amdoinggood123 @Dastro @tappukepapa @BAT_MAN @amitsh053 @Rosh_0007

…hell of the week till now…Ga**d faat dene waala…but glad to say i made good profit by selling many lots of otm puts …


…..two big events are coming…so vix tend to rise plus option premiums will not decay fast….buy strangle in nifty.


…but close position before budget….

replyuser
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