https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779016
Some personal observations regarding Nifty
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Chart image source: Zerodha Kite, Timeframe -> Weekly, Yellow Line 200 EMA, Red Line 50 EMA
The above picture captures market moves from 1994 ~ 2003. Very indecisive time period. It has to be a pretty mundane and non rewarding phase. Red and yellow lines are moving together. Many times the candle sticks are moving below yellow line yet it held its position. Shares must be available at dirt cheap prices.
Above picture captures price action from 2006 ~2021. Two major crashes can be seen. First one i.e. 2008 one, the bearish phase was a really lingering one and so is the recovery period. And red line remained above yellow line, which was good. And you can see candle sticks are touching yellow line and bouncing back up, representing a good bull run. Mutual funds holders, must have seen good growth. In 2020 the crash was the sharpest yet we had seen sharpest recovery. And it was the last time candle sticks had touched the yellow line.
But now the prices are yet to touch the yellow line.
Two observations...
- The sharpest of falls witnesses the sharpest of recoveries.
- Any time Nifty hits a top, it witnesses some months of consolidation. The third picture tried to show them. Check the red circles. A month has 4 weeks. By that logic min 2-3 months of correction is quite normal.
So, shall we see more corrections?
Probably, yes. Candle sticks eventually get magnetically drawn to the red line. It's how the market work. 😊😊😊
Btw, CHRISTMAS25 should give you 25% discount on Tickertape Pro annual subscription. Last date of availing that offer is today. 😊😊😊😊
Disclaimer
We are not SEBI/IRDA registered. The information provided herein is for education purposes only. We will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel's suggestions. Consult your financial advisor before making any decisions.
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779023
Great observations 😻🥳🥳🥳
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779053
Thanks Biki bhau
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779055
@bikidas2060 If starting an SIP for child for next 15 years, should it be index or large or mid or small cap? What is your thought?
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779068
I personally would have done a 50-50 split between mid and small. But it's highly subjective because there's variety of mutual funds and stocks available in these categories and hence, risk is higher.
So, if no hassle needed then index.
Large is irrelevant IMHO.
General disclaimer - I am no expert.
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779111
Good time to pull out some funds?
Need is in few months
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779123
Dont pull out
entry is gonna be difficult from here on as people are gonna get trapped left and right
as soon as you sell you are officialy gonna be a target to sap money out of in the short run rather save up some money so you can buy more in the coming dips
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779520
Ek chota sa observation. 2008 wali crash me economy ki dhajiyan udgayi thi n 2020 wali me human lives ki. Still, 2020 crisis recovered faster. It proves the old age adage "Sabse bada rupaiya".
Sad life. 😔😵💫
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779452
1994-2003 wasn't mundane or non rewarding. For example in 1999 nifty gave annualized return of 68% and in 2003 it was 72%. Only once nifty gave more return than that, around 75% in 2009 from the low base of 2008 economic crisis.
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779524
Arey bhai. Sure a lot of market moves were there. We have witnessed a lot of bubbles. But if we see the bigger picture, the market was pretty boring. A lot of things were available at dirt cheap price.
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779456
Long term market graph is always misleading. From 100 point to 150 is 50 percent move, but from 15000 to 20000 is only 30 percent move. But it you put all that in graph, you get a steeper curve in later case.
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779755
Election results ke baad ye boom karega aur.. current wali aai to 1.5x .. opposite aai to 0.5x. ab dekh lo kidhar Dena hai apni mat.. 
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9779759
Hal me hi sip start kiye Hain . 10% gain par hai.. waiting some deep anyway.. gold to ulta jata hai index se most of time.. for safety I have major in sgb.. kab kispar bam phod de kya pata..
But I feel market kuchh jyada hi upar hai.. idhar ko Jo entry lega.. risk factor 90% hai.. 20 25% wali dip to ye government Jane ke baad hi aayega.. jiska ummed 0.1% hi hai.. xd
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9782685
Nai bhai. Aap jaega. 🙂 Jitna jaldi recovery aur jitna fast chal raha hai agar ye sustain karna chahiye toh dips ana toh tay hai.
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9780299
Biki bhai k aage koi bol sakta hai kya!!!!
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9780305
I'm planning to invest in this fund: Invest Online In Motilal Oswal Nifty 500 Index Fund (motilaloswalmf.com)
Any tips?? This is my first time opting for a fund and idk when/how to get started, would greatly appreciate anyone's help.
@bikidas2060 and others, please help
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9782683
Bhai. Tip aur kya? Mutual funds me discipline ke saath paise daalte rahen.
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9780314
I see so many expert, one stupid question from me - “How much return( percentage term) in nifty you are expecting in 2024?”
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9780458
From fno -> unlimited. From Cash -> no idea
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https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9780874
Good Share Biki bhai 
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9782690
Op US treasury dekha hai kabhi? Sab ka prediction tha there will be a crash but it didn't happen... Kitna bhi analysis karlo fdi paisa lutane nahi aye last few weeks
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9785454
Arey dost. Market kabhi ek sidhi disha me jate hue dekha hai? Saabka prediction naa do bhai. Me agar weise kabhi bolunga toh fir taab bolna. 🙂
https://www.desidime.com/discussions/some-personal-observations-regarding-nifty?page=1#post_9785450
As long as RSI is not 80+ in daily n weekly the uptrend should continue. 🙂🙂🙂 Once RSI becomes overbought trend ll change for a while.
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Thanks bro. Vu
Ek chota sa observation. 2008 wali crash me economy ki dhajiyan udgayi thi n 2020 wali me human lives ki. Still, 2020 crisis recovered faster. It proves the old age adage "Sabse bada rupaiya".
Sad life. 😔😵💫
@Garyhost
Long term market graph is always misleading. From 100 point to 150 is 50 percent move, but from 15000 to 20000 is only 30 percent move. But it you put all that in graph, you get a steeper curve in later case.
Correct, this is why a logarithmic graph should be used for visual purpose.
vu for efforts. thanks for sharing.