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Coronavirus - Now We Are In End Game

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India has recorded 4,789 active cases, 124 deaths, 352 cured cases, according to the latest update released by the Union Ministry for Health and Family Welfare on Tuesday evening.

Only 1 Chance.
Stay Home Guys

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Critic Critic
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I expected a minimum of 5000 deaths, actually somewhere around 10000 would have been more practical estimation considering the largest population in the world, with most number of slums as well. But so far, the fatality rates are staggeringly low.

Entertainer Entertainer
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Sab yehi chaahte hein ki jyaada se jyaada log marein, taaki jyaada se jyaada sabak seekhne ko mile. But koi bhi yeh nahin chahtaa ki koi uska apna, jaan-pehchaan waala chala jaaye…

🤚Pehla sabak ☝️yahin👆 se start hota hai 🖖👌

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Deal Colonel Deal Colonel
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jai bajrang bali tod dushman ki nali

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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Real situation will be clear once we start mass testing. Delhi and Mumbai are moving towards that direction. I guess we have to wait for 10 more days to get some clarity

Good thing is that number of deaths are very low at the moment

Generous Generous
Admin
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Yeah. But active cases are increasing day by day.!!

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Pro Tech Guru Pro Tech Guru
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After 15th April the number of new cases will decline in India.

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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Not possible… Community spread had started at some places near lockdown time. Our peak is coming in May according to some experts.

Nobody knows with any accuracy about nature of virus yet. We can’t predict its incubation period and total number of asymptomatic cases. Just by mathematical analysis, we can say that the actual attack hasn’t even started yet.

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Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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Due to early lockdown cases won’t go more than 10000.

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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They already are in 50k plus range.

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Deal Captain Deal Captain
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It is assumed that for every death reported there are about 80-100 Cases. Going by that metric there should have been around 15-16k identified cases till now. But till now there are only 5500 cases reported so far.

Deal Captain Deal Captain
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Might not be popular view. This is likely solution. With no vaccine in sight only Herd Immunity is going to be exit strategy.

We have to ask: is there any other way to contain this problem? In 2009, there was an epidemic of H1N1 influenza. What happened to it? It came in and stayed for 2-3 months and spontaneously disappeared. Nothing that we did at the point of time was of help. It went away. Why? It is because of a certain level of herd immunity that was produced by the infection. So, our only hope is that, on its own, this virus is headed line in that way – in a particular way of herd immunity.

https://wap.business-standard.com/article-amp/c...

Benevolent Benevolent
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Any virus mutates continuously. H1N1 thankfully mutated in a way that made it less lethal. So there were infections but with lower and lower severity and those who survived developed immunity.

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Helpful Helpful
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Hanuman ji kuch kro … pensive

Budding Star Budding Star
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Sankatmochan.!

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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People are saying very low cases in india compared to population. The truth is we are not performing full tests becoz of lack of test kits. After having enough tests kits. Count will drastically increase.

Deal Captain Deal Captain
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It’s not possible to test all 1.4 Billion.

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Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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Corona is in the endgame now

Critic Critic
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Pool testing & mobile testing centers may help speed up detection rate without overburdening the system.
Pool testing – Under pool testing, people are divided into teams of about 15. If a team tests negative, that is good. If the result is positive, they are divided into groups of three, for another round of tests.
https://m.hindustantimes.com/cities/we-will-beg...

South Korean efficiency in mobile testing, negative pressure room & mass production of testing kits

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-51...98

Helpful Helpful
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Watched on TV today that alongwith the normal saliva tests to detect Corona, now hospitals will also start blood tests because when you detect by Saliva, it takes 5-6 hours to get the result of +Ve or -Ve but if you do blood tests, results are available within 20-30 minutes max…If all govt & private hospitals start implementing this, we will be able to test many more patients per day…

Plus I am curious to know what happened to the Supreme Court’s order that all Corona tests have to be done for free even in the private labs…Has this been implemented yet or hospitals still charging money for the test ??

If it becomes free, many people specially poor people will come forward to get them tested as they won’t have to pay anything…

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Deal Captain Deal Captain
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Already 226 deaths, That means no of identified cases should have been atleast 20000-22000. But No of confirmed cases is only 6700. Huge disparity emerging not good signs.

Benevolent Benevolent
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Well I hope if a vaccine eventually comes to fruition the beneficiaries of India’s largesse will extend to her the same courtesy. At least some good can come out of it then. While reportedly the current stocks of HCQS are surplus to our requirements that can change quite quickly although its efficacy is still debatable.

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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stuck_out_tongue

Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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I came across dr. swaroop one video that claims that test that is conducted here is not conclusive and it being wrong has chance of 1-80%
Anyone knows about this claim?

Deal Lieutenant Deal Lieutenant
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Yes, he is 1-20% right

Deal Captain Deal Captain
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“Covid-19 takes 20-25 days to kill victims. The paper reckons 7m Americans were infected from March 8th to 14th & official data show 7,000 deaths three weeks later. The resulting fatality rate is 0.1%, similar to that of flu … a tenth of other estimates”
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/0...

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